Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.314295 3.933728 4.668391 5.612870 6.807782 8.286739 1.028346e+01
2024-10-27 2.361904 3.086367 4.059116 5.495376 7.623819 10.767627 1.597873e+01
2024-11-03 2.051364 2.858347 4.037759 5.960487 9.170180 14.629853 2.542439e+01
2024-11-10 1.783784 2.606661 3.888676 6.146540 10.297963 18.260783 3.673320e+01
2024-11-17 1.610770 2.451996 3.837591 6.452633 11.710688 23.037614 5.400135e+01
2024-11-24 1.420702 2.230701 3.623043 6.397495 12.394512 26.637214 7.169811e+01
2024-12-01 1.289440 2.083586 3.504354 6.486261 13.405382 31.549959 9.871423e+01
2024-12-08 1.175307 1.947154 3.377309 6.521391 14.306262 36.731887 1.339226e+02
2024-12-15 1.108000 1.884188 3.376600 6.825178 15.996894 45.408250 1.998429e+02
2024-12-22 1.007034 1.743888 3.197934 6.679366 16.433831 50.347687 2.580977e+02
2024-12-29 0.933688 1.647065 3.092757 6.684358 17.318747 57.703835 3.535138e+02
2025-01-05 0.861808 1.544267 2.959026 6.587571 17.865794 64.262151 4.681058e+02
2025-01-12 0.811896 1.490305 2.946973 6.875080 20.076674 82.155600 8.222856e+02
2025-01-19 0.735928 1.375178 2.784251 6.731366 20.828278 94.723884 1.265193e+03
2025-01-26 0.713248 1.368592 2.871066 7.331299 24.854454 134.750632 3.122482e+03
2025-02-02 0.673198 1.317941 2.841210 7.572387 27.640327 174.281503 7.108521e+03
2025-02-09 0.644263 1.287814 2.856788 7.970000 31.555284 237.328215 2.184235e+04
2025-02-16 0.598901 1.213755 2.744509 7.898281 33.096032 283.449726 5.553386e+04
2025-02-23 0.565617 1.163910 2.688577 8.013761 35.856968 359.691115 2.364851e+05
2025-03-02 0.533264 1.112311 2.619032 8.059491 38.331854 449.117605 1.747817e+06
2025-03-09 0.514947 1.092691 2.636504 8.455629 43.619418 636.978946 2.393196e+09
2025-03-16 0.480977 1.030135 2.518956 8.265340 44.643953 744.106860 NaN
2025-03-23 0.455630 0.986751 2.451920 8.271850 47.296471 936.399568 NaN